Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Went deep in the million.

Well, its the end of the year and although I run like total crap all the time, I still had by far and away my most successful year ever in poker. I don't have the numbers on me because looking at them makes me sick but unless something crazy happens before the new year. (yeah right) I am going to finish just shy of $20K in overall profit. As of right now I am down about $300 or so for the month of December.

Overall, I have paid off all my bills and still have twice as much money as the last time I had decent money on me. So to say that I am not extremely proud of myself would be a total lie. I am proud of myself but I still can't stand poker.

Last weekend I had one of my worst weekends ever. I was up about $1200 for the month and in a short 48 hours I was down $700 for the month. Yay go me. I wish I could have upswings like that. Once again, yeah right. That was from playing exclusively cash. NL50 with shots at NL100 which of course was a huge disaster. I literally lost $500 in about 10 minutes because I'm good at poker.

I also lost $300 on the Celtics/Lakers Christmas game. As a result, I plan on making my biggest sports bet ever on the Rose Bowl game. I have to make a couple phone calls to my sports betting experts but there going heavy on USC. So we'll see what they say.

This is pretty much what poker has been like for the last 4 months and why I hate it. Remember I am almost never on the other side of this and don't understand how all this math they claim can be correct.

These are all in situations with the exception to one. I run terrible at all ins.

I have Q Q.

They have A 10

All in Preflop

Flop A 3 7

That happens about 8 out of 10 times. I don't know it off the top of my head but I think I am an 83% favorite. That may be a little high but that can't be right because that's how often I lose there. Like I said, when I have A 10 there, I have won 4 times this month. I lose that way 4 times every day.

I have K Q

They have A J

Flop K x x

I swear to God, every time I flop that the turn is an Ace. Every single time. I never ger to suck out there.

I have A K

They have Q 8

Flop A 8 3. All in on the flop.

Turn: Almost every time: 8 or a Q.

I never suck out here with the 5 outer but it happens well over half the time.

My new favorite. This has been happening a lot in cash games and I don't know why I lose here so often.

I have J J.

I raise preflop.

Flop Q Q 6

I bet. They call.

Turn K

I bet they call again.

River Check Check.

They show K 10 and win. It's unreal how often people call me with nothing with a 3 outer and then suck out and get rewarded. I would be dead in 3 months from the collectors coming after me if I played like that yet people do every day against me and get rewarded for it. This is why I hate poker. Don't get me wrong, I want people to play like that but I only want them to win 13% of the time like there suppose too. Not win the vast majority of the time over 100's of thousands of hands over months and months.

So, as a result of losing my shirt over the weekend I decided to play in the big stars sunday tournies (which I never do well in btw) because maybe once I'll get lucky and it was the last sunday of the year so all the tournaments were juiced.

I had accumulated 20K FPP points from playing cash and tournies on stars and decided to play in the sunday million which had a guaranteed prize pool of 2.5 million. The ticket cost me 13500 points.

I had played in this tourney 3 other times and only made it past the first break once. With over 16K players registered I had very little expectations. It's pretty much a lottery with that many players. The prize pool ended being over $3 million.

Early on I picked up A A and got all in the on the flop against 10 10 and for some reason didn't lose. Must have been a glitch in the system. You start the tournament with 10K chips and right away I had 20K chips with the blinds at 50/100.

I then got nothing for 2 hours and then gave someone a bad beat to double up. Must have been another glitch. I then gave another bad beat. I knew not to get too excited because 1st place in this tournament was $330K. I don't ever expect to win anything like that ever so I never got my hopes up.

Overall, this was by far the most fun I have ever had playing poker. Even more fun then the time I played in the $1000 buy in game at the Bellagio.

We made it to the money and I had about 70K chips with the BB at 2500 so I was in great shape!

But... come on you aren't reading the blog of one of these guys who gets lucky every week and is a millionaire.

This is DrBadBeat.

Like always I lost the biggest pot of the tournament.

I was up to 85K and got all in with A Q against J J.

Couldnt win. That was a 120K chip pot.

Then I get all in a little while later with A 9 against 6 6 and couldn't win again.

I finished in 1501 place which was good for about $350. All profit since I spent points to get in the tournament. I survived for almost 5 hours in the tournament which is surprising even too me. It sucks because if I would have lasted another hour I would have more or less made back my entire dowswing from the last couple days since the money jumps were extreme.

All in all, I am really really happy I played in the tournament and hope to play in it again some day.

My goal for next year is modest. I hope to make $40K playing poker next year. Assuming I don't quit, it will be the first time ever that I will play all 12 months in a year.

As of right now I have no aspirations for playing in the WSOP next year. I don't really see it being worth my time unless good things happen between now and then. I am not counting on it though since I am not good at catching breaks.

Monday, December 1, 2008

November: Yay an upswing.

Hahahaha, yeah right, I wish. This month was just as bad as the rest of them were with the exception to the one cash. I pretty much know how it is at this point and I expect nothing less then to get fucked every time I sit down to play online poker. As I go through the numbers I think I did go through an upswing. It actually would make perfect sense. I more or less run good once every four months for a short period of time and its about that time so I am due, right?

You tell me. These were my big finishes. This is what an upswing looks like for me.

4/3429*
32/1332
19/468
16/1647*
31/5823*
8/1242

I also made final tables in the 180 man tournaments 7 times. Overall I finished 4th twice, 6th, 7th, 8th twice, and 9th. Basically for the 180 man tournaments to be worth your while you have to get top 3. As you can see I didn't get top 3 once. I came into every final table except for one of them as either 8th or 9th in chips.

Also, * means that the tournament had a very large first place. Large enough for me to jump up and down like an idiot had I actually won.

The 6 MTT's that I just told you about are the best I have ever done in a short period of time. Of course my upswing has to be halted by the fact that I have to lose back to back coinflips in one tournament, can't hold up when I have the best hand, and can't suck out when I have the worst hand. That's some upswing.

I seriously have the worst timing ever when it comes to poker.

I pretty much never shove bad hands anymore when I am short because I get snapcalled by some bullshit hand every time as if they know what I have. This even happens if I haven't done anything for 45 minutes. Proves that no one pays any attention. More or less, I have lost every time I have gotten all in with a bad hand. On the flip side, I lose numerous times every day to people shoving with 8 5 and cracking my A K.

When I play a hand out and have a big pocket pair, the Ace almost never comes on the flop. Its really nice.

However, every time I get all in with a big pocket pair and they have A x I lose 9 times out of 10. Which fucking blows because I am getting knocked out of every tournament this way.

Of course when I have A Q against K K, I can't tell you the last time I hit what I needed too.

Every day I play except for the rare days that I actually win, I lose the biggest pot I play. Great timing.

I am also losing to 3 outers at a disgusting rate which proves that the percentages on 3 outer hands is really wrong. I probably lose every other time with good regularity every time I get all in with A K against A 3. And believe me people love calling my all ins with there rag aces. It's almost like they know how the board is going to come out.

My solution? Yes I have one. I'll tell you at the end.

Degen Adventures:

I was going to write about this last week but never got around too it. I had a really degenerative trip to Las Vegas two weekends ago.

I am not going to go detail for detail as I don't want to set any records for longest post ever but I'll sum it up.

1. I started the trip by buying a 1/4 ounce of kush.
2. I then got picked up from work by my "free" ride. Win for me.
3. We got to Vegas and we got to stay in a 2000+ square foot suite for free. Win x3 for me. We stayed at Ballys on the strip.
4. There were 5 guys total. It was ballin.
5. I ran sick hot gambling the first night and at one point was up $800.
6. By the end of the night I was up only $160. Which is okay since its the first time I have ever come up the first night of a Vegas trip.
7. The next day I proceeded to be down as much $760 at one point. I brought $1000 cash with me for the trip.
8. With only $120 left in my pocket and $120 in chips on a poker table (the only time I played poker the entire trip) I proceeded to go on one of the sickest card runs ever and went from $120 to $730 and call it quits for the night. I hit the nuts 4 times on the turn and overbet huge on the river and got called every time because no one ever believes I have anything.
9. I am now only down about $200 and meet up with the rest of the group across the street.
10. They decide to go to a strip club and I decide to not be the only one not to go even though strip clubs are against my religion. (I'm obv not religious.)
11. Without even trying I drop $180 in the strip club and didn't even get off. I paid $30 for the cover and another $20 for 2 drinks. Just walking in I spent $50. I was then attacked by two strippers which turned into an $80 lap dance.
12. I spent by far the least and overall two guys got laid but spent $700+ and another guy got a handjob.
13. My crazy degen gambler friend Kevin woke up at 8:30 the next morning to go place sunday football bets. (We went to bed at 6:00 am)
14. I gave him $300 and tell him to put it all on the Buffalo Bills. He does.
15. I go back to bed.
16. I wake up a few hours later and wake up to find out that I won my bet and go downstairs to collect my winnings. Hell yeah.
17. From 10:00 Friday morning while at work until I got home Sunday night I was either stoned or stoned/drunk. It was awesome.
18. Overall, I went to Las Vegas with $1000 and came home with $880 in my pocket. I was by far the big winner for the trip and it was by far my most successful Vegas trip to date. The room alone would normally be $600-$1000 per night.
19. I never went to bed before 6am the entire trip.

In terms of live poker, I have played 3 times since playing online and have run sick hot each time. Overall, I am now up $1000+ in live poker.

My solution:

Although I am extremely disappointed with my performance on stars, I am still extrememly proud of what I have accomplished since April.

In April, my life was literally in 20 pieces. I had no job, no money, thousands of dollars in debt, no where to live, court fines, and had upset a lot of people.

I now have my own apartment, no debt (except my car payment), courts are all paid up and happy, a job, and the most money I have ever had in my life.

Although I have much less money right now then I initially projected, I still look at December as a complete free-roll as this is the first month where I won't have to make any debt payments so money should start stockpiling even more.

For the month of November I came up a whopping $1400 playing poker. My stars account currently sits at $2529. Oh I forgot to mention that I am on a $1700 online downswing since my 4th in the rebuys. Shocking.

This is my new plan. Stars hates me and I hate them. You can't only play tournaments. I have unfortunately learned this the hard way.

I have redeposited $1000 on Cake. I originally did this too move it over to a sportsbook but saw a sick freeroll and just started playing randomly. I am up $100 on the account and am playing 50NL cash along with a tournament here and there.

I have two laptops. One for Cake and one for Stars. At my peak, I will have 4 games going on the one computer and then will have 6 going for Stars. For Stars, I have started grinding 50NL which surprisingly has a lot of action along with my tournaments. I will start receiving rakeback once again which is huge and will become a bigger player in the Stars FPP program. So long as I don't run bad at every avenue I am trying I expect December to be a very very good month. I am however on the weed wagon and that is my biggest challenge. Today was my first day playing sober and although I was able to do it, it was very difficult.

Since April, I am up over $20K+ in poker which shocks the shit out of me considering how many big pots I lose.