After yesterdays debacle I was going to type this really long post detailing most of the last couple weeks. Instead I am too stoned and have 4 games going right now so I'm going to run through everything really fast.
As it stands, I have now hit my worst gambling downswing ever. I busted my sportsbook account and in total lost $700. I am taking a break from all that and will come back when I find a game that is a sure thing. Football has been way to unpredictable all season to play the games regularly.
My stars account is taking some wild swings. I hit my high of $2760 on 9/24 and a couple weeks later, I was all the way down to $600. I then went on an upswing that lasted a whole four days. I had a turnaround of $1600 on my sharkscope and took my account all the way up to $1800. Then in only two and a half days of playing, I was right back to $600. Over that time I went about 50 tournaments straight without a single cash. 30 straight SNG's to be exact and approxiamately 20 MTT's.
The very next day I was down to $400.
The next day which was yeterday I bought into a bunch of MTT's and had my account drop to $200 after not cashing in all but the last one.
The last tournament was pretty interesting. It had everything.
The tournament was an $11 buyin with 1086 players.
Early on I picked up a nice stack and then got my greatest fuck you hand ever. All in one hand I took the sickest cooler and simulataneously took the worst bad beat you can take.
Blinds 125/250
UTG raises to 500. Call. I call. Two other callers.
I have 7 7.
Flop A 7 5
Three of us including myself get all in on the flop.
UTG has A A and the other guy has 5 5.
Turn 5
Fuck me. I cannot believe what I just saw.
My stack was all the way down to 1200.
I played shortstack for the next 4 hours.
In that time these two sweet pieces of justices go down.
I get all in short with 6 6. Get called by J J.
Flop 6 x x.
The second hand was the same situation. I get all in short with A J.
Villain shows 10 10.
Flop A J x
As we got down to the last 70 players I was looking at the money breakdown. There was a big prize jump at 27th place. 27-19 was $60 or so. I only had $200-$250 in my account so a $60 cash is substantial. Also prior to my play that day I was considering what to do in the event of going bust. I was debating whether or not I was going to redeposit so I had that mindset when I was playing.
I actually got down to the last 27 and was about 22nd in the tournament so I was stil rocking the short stack. I don't remember many of the hands played at this point but I kept advancing through the tournament as one of the shortest stacks. I badly wanted to make the final table as I hadn't made a FT in almost a month.
Sure enough I actually get there shortstack and all. I came in 6th in chips.
When we got to 8 handed I was 7th in chips and we were on break. Someone suggested that we chop the tounrament 8 ways with each player getting $900. Several players actually agreed. The chipleader wasn't going for it and I sided with chipleader saying that I wasn't going to chop either. The fact that I was refusing to chop is completely assinine on my part since I would be getting 4th place money. I thought I could win and I needed the 2 grand that was on the line.
The first hand back I pick up 4 4 and flop a set in a raised pot with the chipleader. He almost doubles me up and I move into 4th or 5th in chips.
We get down to the last 5 and I am 4th in chips and the player 3rd in chips offers a 5 way chop where we all get $1500. The first two agreed and the chipleader said he was thinking about it but I said no deal and we kept playing. We get down to 4 handed and I double up by actually winning a coinflip. At three handed the sickest hand ever happened.
I have J J in the BB.
Chipleader 2M
Me 700K
Shortstack 600K
Blinds 10K/25K
Chipleader raises my BB from the button like he always does and the SB shoves. I overshove with my Jacks and the CL actually calls!
CL A 10
Me J J
SS 6 6
Lately, I have been in this spot a lot and I have been really good at losing so one time please.
The board blanks off and I win a 2 million chip pot and am heads up. This is also the first time the entire tournament that I hold the chiplead. We play for about 20 minutes or so and I outplay the guy nasty and win when I call his shove with Q 8. He showed 4's and I hit the 8 to win the tournament. 1st was $1,985 and some change and makes for my second biggest tourney score ever. I finally got a good win on stars but am pretty indifferent to it. My bankroll was at $2100 or so and today I have been running like shit. I hope at this point I start making some money because I am in no mood right now to watch my account go all the way back down to almost nothing because everyone hits there 3 outers against me.
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Sunday, October 12, 2008
No one runs worse at poker then I do.
Oh my God where do I start? I think this might be the worst run I have ever had gambling in my entire life. On 9/24, I final tabled a tournament and made about $900. My Stars bankroll at that point was at $2760. Since then I have run like the stock market. It's not official since I am still playing but right now my bankroll sits at $732 and thats before I buy in to a couple more tournies. Things could not be going worse in the land of football.
I took Tennessee yesterday +11.5 against Georgia which means they couldn't lose the game by more then 12 points. I got in early and the line ended up moving to about 13 or so. Tennessee lost the game by 12 and had I waited a couple days to place the bet I would have won but instead I got in early and lost by a half point. I also took 5-0 Vanderbilt against 1-4 MSU yesterday and not only did Vanderbilt not win the game by 3 points, they didn't even win the game. Right now, Dallas just had a punt blocked in OT and Arizona scored a TD on the same play and I just lost that game as well. I don't even want to look at my account by I am now down about $500 overall since I started betting on sports. That puts my gambling downswing at $2500. My worst downswing ever was $3000 playing live poker but I was risking thousands of dollars on a daily basis so that is to be expected. This is much worse because it is over a longer time period and it is happening much slower so it's a lot more painful.
Fuck poker. I just needed to say that.
If you want to know what its like to be me as a poker player then do the following. Go to www.sharkscope.com and search CUgold61 under PokerStars.
I started playing again recently on Stars at around game 400 right where it flatlines. In the last 3 days I have played about 90 games or so at the last "peak" in the graph. In that time, I haven't won a single SNG and have only gotten 2 seconds. The games that I'm playing are 18 man and 45 man turbos.
I could not be running worse in these stupid ass things. These stupid ass things are the main reason for the most recent part of my slide on Stars.
In those 3 days I have gotten into this situation all in preflop and have lost about 70 times. That is AK vs AQ or worse. I obviously don't have AK every time that I have lost but I have lost in that situation about 70 times in the last 3 days. On the flip side when I have been behind I have won about 12 of them. Remember the numbers do not add up in poker. That, or my account has a Pokerstars inflicted curse. I really wouldn't be surprised if my account was cursed because this is all the same crap I use to go through way back when I played on Stars.
I also had KK vs. AA 15 consecutive times before I had AA vs KK a little while ago today. I have never had a run like that with AA vs KK but of course I can be on the bad end of it. Never once in those 15 did I suck out.
I also am getting really fucking frustrated with the big field MTT's. No one goes farther in these things more often then I do without ever getting a payday. I have only played 42 MTT's this month and have the following results.
28/1962
57/3204
54/3483
30/4995
For the players who win a lot online, I want to know: How do you do it? I always run out of cards, take a bad beat, or get it in with an inferior hand because I am shortstacked and never suck out. It happens every time. I am never big stack when there are 30 players left. I am always one of the shortstacks. The 30/4995 happened earlier today and I ran really well throughout the tournament and really thought I was going to make the final table.
Of course I ran out of cards and shoved 10 8 on the button with 10 big blinds when it was folded to me. It was the first time the entire tournament that I did this and of course the small blind has AQ. He calls and the flop comes J 10 x. I knew not to celebrate because I know who I am and know that I am the king of the suckout followed by the re-suckout. Of course he hit the king on the turn giving him the nuts and I was drawing dead. Hey pokerstars, why don't you let me win one those just once or actually give me a couple of good hands when the blinds get enoromous. Why do my cards alwasy die when the blinds get really big? Please, you have no idea how frustrating it is to go that far so often and too never get a cash. It's fucking bullshit.
Also, I would like to tell everyone how smart I am. Today I played in the Top 1000 TLB tournament. It was awesome, only 600 players showed up so 1st place was a lot bigger then it should have been. This was easily the hardest tournament I have ever played in. It's very boring to play in a tourney when there are no donks. There was no action and no one was giving away any chips. Every time I raised, they folded and if they called or 3 bet I knew I was in trouble. Early in the tournament I folded QQ preflop because some guy who was a supernova shoved all in over my 3 bet. I knew that he had AA KK or AK and I wasn't going to call and find out if I was flipping a coin that I know I am going to lose so I just pitched it.
Anyway, I totally called the way I was going to get knocked out. We were about 1 hour and 45 minutes in and I had about 15 BB and I overshoved with JJ. I got called by QQ and of course theres the cooler that I predicted.
At this point, I am probably not going to go to Las Vegas next summer. What the hell for? I am probably going to run like shit anyway. I can see it now. I'll be in some WSOP event and I'll go all in with AA and get called by some stupid farmer from Nebraska or some idiot from Arkansas who's a plumber and he'll have A 7 off and hit two sevens on the flop. So unless my luck turns around which I don't expect it too then the WSOP can kiss my ass.
Also, I am never paying off my debts ever again with poker money. This is the 3rd time that I have paid off most of my debts and followed that by a vicious downswing. I had about 18K to my name and thought it would be a good idea to erase 5K worth of credit debt/court fines. But of course like every other time I pay debts, I end up losing everything else and go back into debt. So never again am I paying that shit off with poker money. I still have well over 10K to my name and if it weren't for having a job I would probably be close to busto.
If I lose another couple grand, I will probably quit for good and invest the rest of my bankroll in the stock/commodities market after things bottom out. I keep hearing that if Obama wins the presidency that he will spend us into oblivion and the market will tank really hard. People made millions after the last depression so go Obama if I have the chance to make more money.
UPDATE: Unfucking believable. I typed the original message at around 4:00 in the afternoon. Was watching the Sunday Million final table to see how these guys play with monster money on the line. Decided to play in a couple $11 180 man turbo tournaments. This is seriously the story of my life. Got knocked out of the first one right away. Did something stupid. Can't remember what. Ended up taking first in the second one and won $594. Ran sick hot the entire tournament and didn't take a single bad beat. I'm obviously relieved as I have made back a big chunk of my weekend poker losses. But why do I always win in small events? Just one time, I want to win one of the bigger ones like one of the rebuys. Oh well, this only adds more fuel to my fire. Maybe things will turn around. Also, for the last 2 days I'm like 19 for 20 in this situation. 7 7 vs. AK. I have never run that well in those kind of coinflips. However, I am losing most of my coinflips on the other side but thats ok because I am tired of losing 80% of the time when I have the pocket pair. My bankroll now sits at $1288.
I took Tennessee yesterday +11.5 against Georgia which means they couldn't lose the game by more then 12 points. I got in early and the line ended up moving to about 13 or so. Tennessee lost the game by 12 and had I waited a couple days to place the bet I would have won but instead I got in early and lost by a half point. I also took 5-0 Vanderbilt against 1-4 MSU yesterday and not only did Vanderbilt not win the game by 3 points, they didn't even win the game. Right now, Dallas just had a punt blocked in OT and Arizona scored a TD on the same play and I just lost that game as well. I don't even want to look at my account by I am now down about $500 overall since I started betting on sports. That puts my gambling downswing at $2500. My worst downswing ever was $3000 playing live poker but I was risking thousands of dollars on a daily basis so that is to be expected. This is much worse because it is over a longer time period and it is happening much slower so it's a lot more painful.
Fuck poker. I just needed to say that.
If you want to know what its like to be me as a poker player then do the following. Go to www.sharkscope.com and search CUgold61 under PokerStars.
I started playing again recently on Stars at around game 400 right where it flatlines. In the last 3 days I have played about 90 games or so at the last "peak" in the graph. In that time, I haven't won a single SNG and have only gotten 2 seconds. The games that I'm playing are 18 man and 45 man turbos.
I could not be running worse in these stupid ass things. These stupid ass things are the main reason for the most recent part of my slide on Stars.
In those 3 days I have gotten into this situation all in preflop and have lost about 70 times. That is AK vs AQ or worse. I obviously don't have AK every time that I have lost but I have lost in that situation about 70 times in the last 3 days. On the flip side when I have been behind I have won about 12 of them. Remember the numbers do not add up in poker. That, or my account has a Pokerstars inflicted curse. I really wouldn't be surprised if my account was cursed because this is all the same crap I use to go through way back when I played on Stars.
I also had KK vs. AA 15 consecutive times before I had AA vs KK a little while ago today. I have never had a run like that with AA vs KK but of course I can be on the bad end of it. Never once in those 15 did I suck out.
I also am getting really fucking frustrated with the big field MTT's. No one goes farther in these things more often then I do without ever getting a payday. I have only played 42 MTT's this month and have the following results.
28/1962
57/3204
54/3483
30/4995
For the players who win a lot online, I want to know: How do you do it? I always run out of cards, take a bad beat, or get it in with an inferior hand because I am shortstacked and never suck out. It happens every time. I am never big stack when there are 30 players left. I am always one of the shortstacks. The 30/4995 happened earlier today and I ran really well throughout the tournament and really thought I was going to make the final table.
Of course I ran out of cards and shoved 10 8 on the button with 10 big blinds when it was folded to me. It was the first time the entire tournament that I did this and of course the small blind has AQ. He calls and the flop comes J 10 x. I knew not to celebrate because I know who I am and know that I am the king of the suckout followed by the re-suckout. Of course he hit the king on the turn giving him the nuts and I was drawing dead. Hey pokerstars, why don't you let me win one those just once or actually give me a couple of good hands when the blinds get enoromous. Why do my cards alwasy die when the blinds get really big? Please, you have no idea how frustrating it is to go that far so often and too never get a cash. It's fucking bullshit.
Also, I would like to tell everyone how smart I am. Today I played in the Top 1000 TLB tournament. It was awesome, only 600 players showed up so 1st place was a lot bigger then it should have been. This was easily the hardest tournament I have ever played in. It's very boring to play in a tourney when there are no donks. There was no action and no one was giving away any chips. Every time I raised, they folded and if they called or 3 bet I knew I was in trouble. Early in the tournament I folded QQ preflop because some guy who was a supernova shoved all in over my 3 bet. I knew that he had AA KK or AK and I wasn't going to call and find out if I was flipping a coin that I know I am going to lose so I just pitched it.
Anyway, I totally called the way I was going to get knocked out. We were about 1 hour and 45 minutes in and I had about 15 BB and I overshoved with JJ. I got called by QQ and of course theres the cooler that I predicted.
At this point, I am probably not going to go to Las Vegas next summer. What the hell for? I am probably going to run like shit anyway. I can see it now. I'll be in some WSOP event and I'll go all in with AA and get called by some stupid farmer from Nebraska or some idiot from Arkansas who's a plumber and he'll have A 7 off and hit two sevens on the flop. So unless my luck turns around which I don't expect it too then the WSOP can kiss my ass.
Also, I am never paying off my debts ever again with poker money. This is the 3rd time that I have paid off most of my debts and followed that by a vicious downswing. I had about 18K to my name and thought it would be a good idea to erase 5K worth of credit debt/court fines. But of course like every other time I pay debts, I end up losing everything else and go back into debt. So never again am I paying that shit off with poker money. I still have well over 10K to my name and if it weren't for having a job I would probably be close to busto.
If I lose another couple grand, I will probably quit for good and invest the rest of my bankroll in the stock/commodities market after things bottom out. I keep hearing that if Obama wins the presidency that he will spend us into oblivion and the market will tank really hard. People made millions after the last depression so go Obama if I have the chance to make more money.
UPDATE: Unfucking believable. I typed the original message at around 4:00 in the afternoon. Was watching the Sunday Million final table to see how these guys play with monster money on the line. Decided to play in a couple $11 180 man turbo tournaments. This is seriously the story of my life. Got knocked out of the first one right away. Did something stupid. Can't remember what. Ended up taking first in the second one and won $594. Ran sick hot the entire tournament and didn't take a single bad beat. I'm obviously relieved as I have made back a big chunk of my weekend poker losses. But why do I always win in small events? Just one time, I want to win one of the bigger ones like one of the rebuys. Oh well, this only adds more fuel to my fire. Maybe things will turn around. Also, for the last 2 days I'm like 19 for 20 in this situation. 7 7 vs. AK. I have never run that well in those kind of coinflips. However, I am losing most of my coinflips on the other side but thats ok because I am tired of losing 80% of the time when I have the pocket pair. My bankroll now sits at $1288.
Thursday, October 2, 2008
Poker can kiss my ass: Thank you for the nice ego-stroke pokerstars.
I have not played any poker since I made my last blog post. That alone should tell you how frustrated I am. This is the longest I have willingly not played since I started playing again in April. The only other time I didn't play in consecutive days sine April was when I went to Las Vegas in June.
Not only that, but I have absolutely no desire to play and that is actually depressing the hell out of me.
I haven't blazed since Saturday as I am attempting to regenerate my black lungs and since I haven't blazed I haven't had the urge to play. I might have to pop some adderrall the next time I play but I do not know when that will happen. It is also pretty sad that I have to take drugs just to play. Thats one of the reasons why I look forward to the days when I don't play anymore.
Since I haven't been playing, that has left with me with a lot of free time so I have had the time to take care of some personal affairs and it is allowing me to be social again. I have been extremely anti-social lately and I decided it would be best if I started seeing the people I care about.
I will need to get back soon as I am on a set time schedule and only have so much time to make a certain amount of money.
Anyway, my reason for writing is follows. I checked my email at work today and I got this email. This definitely put a huge smile on face.
"Hello CUgold61,
Congratulations on your performance in the MTT TLB for September. For finishing in the top 1000, you have earned a ticket for the Monthly TLB Top 1000 $20,000 Freeroll. The event is scheduled for October 12th at 15:00 ET. The tournament will be deployed in the next few days under the Tourney > Special tab.
If you have any questions regarding your prize or the MTT TLB, please let us know."
I defintitely look forward to this as I will be playing for a free shot at $4K. Also I will get to play with all of the best internet players in the world in one tournament. This will defintitely be a measuring stick for me as most the players I usually play with are terrible and constantly get downright lucky against me. Since I am playing against a bunch of good players, I'll probably get knocked out in the first 30 minutes with a giant cooler.
I will probably make my next update after this tournament.
I also decided to crunch some numbers since I haven't done it in a really long time.
Since April 08 I am up $16,097. That's all online with one live session and a little sportsbetting.
Since I turned 21 I am up $15,786 playing live in LA card clubs and Vegas.
Prior to being 21, I made about $12,000 playing online before I really took it seriously.
Prior to that I made another $3,000-$5,000 but none of that was kept track of since I was just dicking around with friends back then.
Since I quit school I have made $31,883. That play is from October 06-present. During that time there are about 7-8 months where I didn't play at all.
Not only that, but I have absolutely no desire to play and that is actually depressing the hell out of me.
I haven't blazed since Saturday as I am attempting to regenerate my black lungs and since I haven't blazed I haven't had the urge to play. I might have to pop some adderrall the next time I play but I do not know when that will happen. It is also pretty sad that I have to take drugs just to play. Thats one of the reasons why I look forward to the days when I don't play anymore.
Since I haven't been playing, that has left with me with a lot of free time so I have had the time to take care of some personal affairs and it is allowing me to be social again. I have been extremely anti-social lately and I decided it would be best if I started seeing the people I care about.
I will need to get back soon as I am on a set time schedule and only have so much time to make a certain amount of money.
Anyway, my reason for writing is follows. I checked my email at work today and I got this email. This definitely put a huge smile on face.
"Hello CUgold61,
Congratulations on your performance in the MTT TLB for September. For finishing in the top 1000, you have earned a ticket for the Monthly TLB Top 1000 $20,000 Freeroll. The event is scheduled for October 12th at 15:00 ET. The tournament will be deployed in the next few days under the Tourney > Special tab.
If you have any questions regarding your prize or the MTT TLB, please let us know."
I defintitely look forward to this as I will be playing for a free shot at $4K. Also I will get to play with all of the best internet players in the world in one tournament. This will defintitely be a measuring stick for me as most the players I usually play with are terrible and constantly get downright lucky against me. Since I am playing against a bunch of good players, I'll probably get knocked out in the first 30 minutes with a giant cooler.
I will probably make my next update after this tournament.
I also decided to crunch some numbers since I haven't done it in a really long time.
Since April 08 I am up $16,097. That's all online with one live session and a little sportsbetting.
Since I turned 21 I am up $15,786 playing live in LA card clubs and Vegas.
Prior to being 21, I made about $12,000 playing online before I really took it seriously.
Prior to that I made another $3,000-$5,000 but none of that was kept track of since I was just dicking around with friends back then.
Since I quit school I have made $31,883. That play is from October 06-present. During that time there are about 7-8 months where I didn't play at all.
Monday, September 29, 2008
September: The month is over as far as I'm concerned. It's not a skill game.
Well everyone, I have now found the most wishy-washy profession on the planet. I have always said that being an actor is the worst profession in the world as all my friends who are aspiring actors/actresses are always out of work and broke. But nope, that's not the worst profession in terms of being unreliable. The worst profession is tournament poker player.
It boils down like this.
In a 30 day month, you are only going to make money between 5-8 days out of the entire month.
The rest of the time you are going to be losing since you will not cash in the majority of your tournaments.
You only make money if you're losing days are small and your winning days are big.
Also which tournaments you cash/final table in will make all the difference.
As usual, I have followed the same formula for the last few years and that is:
1. Play large tournament with small buyin and run really hot. Make final table. Get small payday.
2. Play large tournament with large buyin. Run really bad every time and never cash.
That's the way its always been and I have no reason to see why thats going to change.
For example:
My new favorite tournament in the world. Held every Sunday at noon my time.
$55+$5 $125K guaranteed.
Usually attracts close to 3K players, has a prize pool of close to 200K, and has a 1st place of 25K.
The last two times I have played, the exact same thing has happened.
Week 1:
I have 15K chips. Avg is 10K. I get all in preflop with a guy who has me covered. I have Aces. He has 9's. We all know the story.
Week 2: (Last week)
I have 10K chips. Avg is 8K. I get all in preflop with a guy who has 8K. I have Aces. He has fives. We all know the story. In this one though, I managed to climb all the way back and was within 300 players of the money.
I get A Q. I raise. Fish calls on the button. Flop A x x. Turn x. I get all in. He calls and has AK. Shocking. I'm out. I had an average stack and told myself to do nothing stupid and was folding my AQ to a re-raise. Of course the worst player on the table coolers me and of course I don't see it coming since he flats me preflop.
Here are my overall numbers for the month.
Tournaments played: 242
Cashes: 45
Cash percentage: 18.6%
Final Tables: 6
Winnings: $5678
These were my final tables. These 3 were in a four day period.
$30NL 9/693 $294
$20NL 3/180 $428
$10NL 5/3339 $1502
Then a whole two weeks pass with no Final Table finishes because I run bad. These 3 were also in 4 days.
$15NL 3/513 $769
$8NL 5/2358 $905
$38NL 6/180 $297
That's it. Pretty bad right? Only one cash of over $1000 is extremely disappointing. Only two final tables in 1000+ player tournaments. I don't really know how I feel about that since I had never final tabled one prior to this month. I still think I can expect to do better. Pathetic nonetheless in my mind.
No final tables in prestigious tournaments such as daily re-buys or any Sunday tourneys.
Overall, twice, I got down to the last several tables in the daily $3 rebuy. I ran horrible in $5 rebuys this month and don't really dabble much in the $10 rebuys since I don't really have the bankroll for it. Pathetic again. I should have gotten further in these tournaments more then just twice since these tournaments are the best part of my game and I consider myself an expert in them.
This is what I have deduced from poker. This is definitely not a skill game. Anyone who tells you otherwise is kidding themselves. Anyone who says that everything balances out in the long run is also kidding themselves. Those of us who actually make money consistently only do so because the losers aren't as intellegent as the winners. They don't think things out thoroughly. They don't care. They don't want to be taught. Obviously, there are intellegent people who play the game who are losers but its because they either don't try or don't care.
This game is all timing. If there is any skill in this game, that is the only place it lies. After much experience, a little luck, and being smart enough to realize certain situations you can put your money in at the right time and have the right result.
I have played close to a million hands of poker and I don't see how the numbers add up. Either you need to do simulations for billions of hands to have a large enough sample or the numbers really don't add up.
Over the course of my life I have lost disproportionately in these situations. These are all in preflop situations. I obviously cannot speak for non all in hands since most hands don't make it too showdown.
AK vs. AQ. I probably win half the time if I am lucky.
AA vs. AK. I have now lost 8 times in the last couple months. You are only suppose to lose some 4-5 times out of every 100 but I have lost 8 times in the last 30 or so. An anomaly. Seems to be an anomaly when it only happens to me.
88 vs. AK. The classic coin-flip. I try very hard to not get all in with these types of coinflips. I lose these well over half the time whereas when I have the AK I win more then half the time. It probably balances out that way but you can tell by my logic which types of hands I would rather be all in with. I will take AK any day all in over a PP.
When you make certain calls or certain laydowns will determine whether or not you lose. Holding up once in a million chip pot is not a skill. It's luck.
Example.
The $8 tournament I final tabled had a similar situation happen. Something that has never ever happened to me and will probably never happen again happened.
I won 8 straight all in confrontations with 60/40's and 65/35s.
For those who don't know the numbers: That is K J against A Q and J 10 against A K type of hands.
Whether or not I was favored pre-flop, I won every time. I sucked out when I needed too and I held up when I needed too. Of course that happens in the $8 buy-in. There was one that I would have lost but I had the skill to make the appropriate lay down and let someone else call the all in and lose. Had I called, I would have been the favorite against both players and would have finished with the worst hand.
----------------------------------------------
I am also going through one of the worst strings of cards I have ever seen.
The following is happening.
I am getting knocked out of every tournament via bad beat or cooler. I have had KK vs AA 7 times in the last two days to end tournaments. Several of which I was doing really well in and getting knocked out came out of nowhere.
I am losing over 80% of my all ins where I am the favorite.
When I suck out on the flop. I am getting re-sucked out on the turn or river about 90% of the time. Right now I am the king of the suckout followed by the re-suckout.
When I get sucked out, I come back about once out of every 20 times.
Half the time I get all in with a coinflip and I actually hit my over... About 30-40% of the time, they are catching there set on the turn or river.
The poker gods then think that because of all the crap I take, that I deserve to give one god-awful bad beat. They assume it makes up for 10 straight tournaments out of the money and a loss as a result of a bad beat.
This happened last night.
Limped pot. BB=400.
I have 6 3 in the SB.
Flop 10 6 3.
All in. All in.
Villain 10 10
Hero 6 3
Turn 3
River 3
That little 15K chip pot obviously makes up for the $300 I dropped in about 12 tournaments prior to that hand.
Oh, but wait. 10 minutes later I was out of the tournament because of AK vs. AQ. I guess not.
Here's the end result.
My stars bankroll was at $300 to start the month.
As of right now I am sitting on $1761. On Saturday I had $2760 and was rolling. After my 20th straight shitty weekend I have lost almost half my stars roll. The weekends are obviously a huge leak in my game. I have only had two winning weekends my entire time playing online since April and the weekends are traditionally when poker players make most of there money. Playing against even more bad players and getting jewed even harder. Skill game? HA!
My sportsbetting account started at $430 and now sits at $530.
Two big recent losses are the reason for the low number in the sportsbook.
I thought taking the #1 college football team in the country against an anemic Oregon State team was a good idea. $200 later, I realized how wrong I was.
Then tonight I bet big on the under in the Monday night football game. The two teams playing literally don't know how to score points. With only 17 minutes left in regulation all I have to do is not have 18 points scored and I win $200. 30+ points randomly get scored to end the game and I lose. Oh well, there's variance in sports too.
Overall, I am up $1560 for the month which is my worst month since I started playing online.
On the one hand, I did achieve gold star status on pokerstars which is very good for me.
I was able to reach gold because I started playing multi-table turbo SNG's which are really fun and kind of keep things a little stable.
At this point, I don't know how much more of this crap I can take. I know I have said this in the past but I can't last much longer if its going to be like this. I need a 5K to 10K score soon to keep the faith. As of right now, I am also doubting my live tournament aspirations since I think it will be a waste of time since I pretty much never ever do well in the tournaments you want to do well in.
Obviously, if something crazy happens tomorrow to end the month then I'll update the numbers. But with the last few KK against AA, I don't think anything is going to change between now and tomorrow.
Oh and lastly, my biggest argument about this not being a skill game.
Unless something changes tomorrow I am going to finish 359th on the pokerstars TLB list which is in the top 2% on all of pokerstars. I was as high as 293 and will finish the month with 3639 points. The guy who finished 100th and gets his name on the list for the world to see has 4321 points.
Basically, if I finish in the top 3 of any tournament tomorrow thats worth playing in.... ie 1st is between 5K-7K then I will crack the list.
I would assume that at least being close to the top 100 puts me among the top players on the site. Yet I find myself losing my shirt most the time and am barely making enough money to make ends meet. (which is why I work a job) Skill game? HA!
OCTOBER? Please one time.
It boils down like this.
In a 30 day month, you are only going to make money between 5-8 days out of the entire month.
The rest of the time you are going to be losing since you will not cash in the majority of your tournaments.
You only make money if you're losing days are small and your winning days are big.
Also which tournaments you cash/final table in will make all the difference.
As usual, I have followed the same formula for the last few years and that is:
1. Play large tournament with small buyin and run really hot. Make final table. Get small payday.
2. Play large tournament with large buyin. Run really bad every time and never cash.
That's the way its always been and I have no reason to see why thats going to change.
For example:
My new favorite tournament in the world. Held every Sunday at noon my time.
$55+$5 $125K guaranteed.
Usually attracts close to 3K players, has a prize pool of close to 200K, and has a 1st place of 25K.
The last two times I have played, the exact same thing has happened.
Week 1:
I have 15K chips. Avg is 10K. I get all in preflop with a guy who has me covered. I have Aces. He has 9's. We all know the story.
Week 2: (Last week)
I have 10K chips. Avg is 8K. I get all in preflop with a guy who has 8K. I have Aces. He has fives. We all know the story. In this one though, I managed to climb all the way back and was within 300 players of the money.
I get A Q. I raise. Fish calls on the button. Flop A x x. Turn x. I get all in. He calls and has AK. Shocking. I'm out. I had an average stack and told myself to do nothing stupid and was folding my AQ to a re-raise. Of course the worst player on the table coolers me and of course I don't see it coming since he flats me preflop.
Here are my overall numbers for the month.
Tournaments played: 242
Cashes: 45
Cash percentage: 18.6%
Final Tables: 6
Winnings: $5678
These were my final tables. These 3 were in a four day period.
$30NL 9/693 $294
$20NL 3/180 $428
$10NL 5/3339 $1502
Then a whole two weeks pass with no Final Table finishes because I run bad. These 3 were also in 4 days.
$15NL 3/513 $769
$8NL 5/2358 $905
$38NL 6/180 $297
That's it. Pretty bad right? Only one cash of over $1000 is extremely disappointing. Only two final tables in 1000+ player tournaments. I don't really know how I feel about that since I had never final tabled one prior to this month. I still think I can expect to do better. Pathetic nonetheless in my mind.
No final tables in prestigious tournaments such as daily re-buys or any Sunday tourneys.
Overall, twice, I got down to the last several tables in the daily $3 rebuy. I ran horrible in $5 rebuys this month and don't really dabble much in the $10 rebuys since I don't really have the bankroll for it. Pathetic again. I should have gotten further in these tournaments more then just twice since these tournaments are the best part of my game and I consider myself an expert in them.
This is what I have deduced from poker. This is definitely not a skill game. Anyone who tells you otherwise is kidding themselves. Anyone who says that everything balances out in the long run is also kidding themselves. Those of us who actually make money consistently only do so because the losers aren't as intellegent as the winners. They don't think things out thoroughly. They don't care. They don't want to be taught. Obviously, there are intellegent people who play the game who are losers but its because they either don't try or don't care.
This game is all timing. If there is any skill in this game, that is the only place it lies. After much experience, a little luck, and being smart enough to realize certain situations you can put your money in at the right time and have the right result.
I have played close to a million hands of poker and I don't see how the numbers add up. Either you need to do simulations for billions of hands to have a large enough sample or the numbers really don't add up.
Over the course of my life I have lost disproportionately in these situations. These are all in preflop situations. I obviously cannot speak for non all in hands since most hands don't make it too showdown.
AK vs. AQ. I probably win half the time if I am lucky.
AA vs. AK. I have now lost 8 times in the last couple months. You are only suppose to lose some 4-5 times out of every 100 but I have lost 8 times in the last 30 or so. An anomaly. Seems to be an anomaly when it only happens to me.
88 vs. AK. The classic coin-flip. I try very hard to not get all in with these types of coinflips. I lose these well over half the time whereas when I have the AK I win more then half the time. It probably balances out that way but you can tell by my logic which types of hands I would rather be all in with. I will take AK any day all in over a PP.
When you make certain calls or certain laydowns will determine whether or not you lose. Holding up once in a million chip pot is not a skill. It's luck.
Example.
The $8 tournament I final tabled had a similar situation happen. Something that has never ever happened to me and will probably never happen again happened.
I won 8 straight all in confrontations with 60/40's and 65/35s.
For those who don't know the numbers: That is K J against A Q and J 10 against A K type of hands.
Whether or not I was favored pre-flop, I won every time. I sucked out when I needed too and I held up when I needed too. Of course that happens in the $8 buy-in. There was one that I would have lost but I had the skill to make the appropriate lay down and let someone else call the all in and lose. Had I called, I would have been the favorite against both players and would have finished with the worst hand.
----------------------------------------------
I am also going through one of the worst strings of cards I have ever seen.
The following is happening.
I am getting knocked out of every tournament via bad beat or cooler. I have had KK vs AA 7 times in the last two days to end tournaments. Several of which I was doing really well in and getting knocked out came out of nowhere.
I am losing over 80% of my all ins where I am the favorite.
When I suck out on the flop. I am getting re-sucked out on the turn or river about 90% of the time. Right now I am the king of the suckout followed by the re-suckout.
When I get sucked out, I come back about once out of every 20 times.
Half the time I get all in with a coinflip and I actually hit my over... About 30-40% of the time, they are catching there set on the turn or river.
The poker gods then think that because of all the crap I take, that I deserve to give one god-awful bad beat. They assume it makes up for 10 straight tournaments out of the money and a loss as a result of a bad beat.
This happened last night.
Limped pot. BB=400.
I have 6 3 in the SB.
Flop 10 6 3.
All in. All in.
Villain 10 10
Hero 6 3
Turn 3
River 3
That little 15K chip pot obviously makes up for the $300 I dropped in about 12 tournaments prior to that hand.
Oh, but wait. 10 minutes later I was out of the tournament because of AK vs. AQ. I guess not.
Here's the end result.
My stars bankroll was at $300 to start the month.
As of right now I am sitting on $1761. On Saturday I had $2760 and was rolling. After my 20th straight shitty weekend I have lost almost half my stars roll. The weekends are obviously a huge leak in my game. I have only had two winning weekends my entire time playing online since April and the weekends are traditionally when poker players make most of there money. Playing against even more bad players and getting jewed even harder. Skill game? HA!
My sportsbetting account started at $430 and now sits at $530.
Two big recent losses are the reason for the low number in the sportsbook.
I thought taking the #1 college football team in the country against an anemic Oregon State team was a good idea. $200 later, I realized how wrong I was.
Then tonight I bet big on the under in the Monday night football game. The two teams playing literally don't know how to score points. With only 17 minutes left in regulation all I have to do is not have 18 points scored and I win $200. 30+ points randomly get scored to end the game and I lose. Oh well, there's variance in sports too.
Overall, I am up $1560 for the month which is my worst month since I started playing online.
On the one hand, I did achieve gold star status on pokerstars which is very good for me.
I was able to reach gold because I started playing multi-table turbo SNG's which are really fun and kind of keep things a little stable.
At this point, I don't know how much more of this crap I can take. I know I have said this in the past but I can't last much longer if its going to be like this. I need a 5K to 10K score soon to keep the faith. As of right now, I am also doubting my live tournament aspirations since I think it will be a waste of time since I pretty much never ever do well in the tournaments you want to do well in.
Obviously, if something crazy happens tomorrow to end the month then I'll update the numbers. But with the last few KK against AA, I don't think anything is going to change between now and tomorrow.
Oh and lastly, my biggest argument about this not being a skill game.
Unless something changes tomorrow I am going to finish 359th on the pokerstars TLB list which is in the top 2% on all of pokerstars. I was as high as 293 and will finish the month with 3639 points. The guy who finished 100th and gets his name on the list for the world to see has 4321 points.
Basically, if I finish in the top 3 of any tournament tomorrow thats worth playing in.... ie 1st is between 5K-7K then I will crack the list.
I would assume that at least being close to the top 100 puts me among the top players on the site. Yet I find myself losing my shirt most the time and am barely making enough money to make ends meet. (which is why I work a job) Skill game? HA!
OCTOBER? Please one time.
Monday, September 15, 2008
September: Weeks 1 and 2
Let me start off by saying that poker is all luck. I don't know about anyone else, but I seem to get the shitty end of the percentages most of the time I play.
There is only one thing I see going disproportionately in my favor.
That is, getting all in with this type of situation: AQ vs. AK and having the board come out as such: 5 5 3 3 6 for a chop. I have probably had AQ in this spot and managed to chop with AK about 10 times or so in the last few weeks whereas it has probably only happened to me once.
Everything else however, I am getting fucking screwed.
At least 3 times a day right now I am having someone crack my overpair with an underpair AIPF.
I got pocket aces popped again yesterday by A x. This time by A 7. Thats the 6th time in the last few weeks whereas I have probably won in that spot maybe once or twice in my entire poker life.
For the last week or so I have been getting crucified on my coinflips which is pretty standard. Never have I been the crucifier when it comes to coinflips since I have never won more then 3 or 4 in a row but I am usually the one getting stuck on the cross.
I am also getting knocked out of every tournament as a result of a bad beat. Maybe 1 out of 10 right now are ending with me shoving bullshit at the wrong time and running into a bigger hand.
Here are my results
Week 1:
Cashes 11/74 14.86%
Winnings $2477.84
Final Table Tables 3
Largest cash $1502.56
This was actually a really shitty week with the exception to 3 good tournies. 14% cash rate is absolutely terrible. I did however make 3 final tables in 4 days. The first was a 9th place finish in a $30 freezeout with 700+ players.
I got fucked really hard like I always do.
I had 300K chips with 15 players left and the next guy had only 100K. Of course I finished 9th with 1st being 4K. I took 4 bad beats in succession. I don't remember nor care what they were. The last one was only one I remember because the guy snap called 3/4 of his stack with Q J when I shoved all in with a superior hand. Oh yeah, he spiked his 3 outer. Shocking.
I then got 3/180 in a $20 tournament.
And then, the only thing I have done well in during the last few weeks.
I took 5/3339 for $1500. I came in to the final table as the 5th stack and finished there so I have no gripes. I will say though that I made a huge mistake 6 handed and then of course got rewarded by getting busted with a bad beat when I had K K only a couple minutes later. It was also my first ever final table in a 1000+ player tournament. Even crazier was the fact that it was over 3000 players.
Week 2: Not much to talk about.
Cashes 13/42 30.95%
Winnings $620.59
Final Tables 0
Biggest Cash $90.09 WTF?
As you can see I took a big loss in MTT's this week. Ironically enough I cashed in almost 31% of my MTT's which is a ridiculously gaudy number. That will probably never happen again but even with that number I still lost money. I ran well enough/played patiently enough to make the money in a lot of tournaments but I ran bad after getting in the money.
I also started playing a lot more sit n goes this week which is why my games played are down for the week. I did manage to make $900 last week in STT which salvaged the week.
Overall
Cashes 24/116 20.69%
Winnings $3098.43
Overall for the month I am up about $1500 in poker.
I also have started betting on sports regularly. A friend of mine has made a shitload of money handicapping football and he is going to let me ride his coattails.
Overall I am up $300 betting sports since Saturday.
So that puts me up $1800 overall on the month which is way behind schedule.
To make matters worse, I have started smoking weed regularly again and am starting to get back to the point of not being able to play without smoking first. Hopefully that doesn't persist.
I am also sorry for the negativity but I hate poker and I hate the way it makes me feel. I look forward to the day I don't have to play anymore which I hope comes sooner then later.
There is only one thing I see going disproportionately in my favor.
That is, getting all in with this type of situation: AQ vs. AK and having the board come out as such: 5 5 3 3 6 for a chop. I have probably had AQ in this spot and managed to chop with AK about 10 times or so in the last few weeks whereas it has probably only happened to me once.
Everything else however, I am getting fucking screwed.
At least 3 times a day right now I am having someone crack my overpair with an underpair AIPF.
I got pocket aces popped again yesterday by A x. This time by A 7. Thats the 6th time in the last few weeks whereas I have probably won in that spot maybe once or twice in my entire poker life.
For the last week or so I have been getting crucified on my coinflips which is pretty standard. Never have I been the crucifier when it comes to coinflips since I have never won more then 3 or 4 in a row but I am usually the one getting stuck on the cross.
I am also getting knocked out of every tournament as a result of a bad beat. Maybe 1 out of 10 right now are ending with me shoving bullshit at the wrong time and running into a bigger hand.
Here are my results
Week 1:
Cashes 11/74 14.86%
Winnings $2477.84
Final Table Tables 3
Largest cash $1502.56
This was actually a really shitty week with the exception to 3 good tournies. 14% cash rate is absolutely terrible. I did however make 3 final tables in 4 days. The first was a 9th place finish in a $30 freezeout with 700+ players.
I got fucked really hard like I always do.
I had 300K chips with 15 players left and the next guy had only 100K. Of course I finished 9th with 1st being 4K. I took 4 bad beats in succession. I don't remember nor care what they were. The last one was only one I remember because the guy snap called 3/4 of his stack with Q J when I shoved all in with a superior hand. Oh yeah, he spiked his 3 outer. Shocking.
I then got 3/180 in a $20 tournament.
And then, the only thing I have done well in during the last few weeks.
I took 5/3339 for $1500. I came in to the final table as the 5th stack and finished there so I have no gripes. I will say though that I made a huge mistake 6 handed and then of course got rewarded by getting busted with a bad beat when I had K K only a couple minutes later. It was also my first ever final table in a 1000+ player tournament. Even crazier was the fact that it was over 3000 players.
Week 2: Not much to talk about.
Cashes 13/42 30.95%
Winnings $620.59
Final Tables 0
Biggest Cash $90.09 WTF?
As you can see I took a big loss in MTT's this week. Ironically enough I cashed in almost 31% of my MTT's which is a ridiculously gaudy number. That will probably never happen again but even with that number I still lost money. I ran well enough/played patiently enough to make the money in a lot of tournaments but I ran bad after getting in the money.
I also started playing a lot more sit n goes this week which is why my games played are down for the week. I did manage to make $900 last week in STT which salvaged the week.
Overall
Cashes 24/116 20.69%
Winnings $3098.43
Overall for the month I am up about $1500 in poker.
I also have started betting on sports regularly. A friend of mine has made a shitload of money handicapping football and he is going to let me ride his coattails.
Overall I am up $300 betting sports since Saturday.
So that puts me up $1800 overall on the month which is way behind schedule.
To make matters worse, I have started smoking weed regularly again and am starting to get back to the point of not being able to play without smoking first. Hopefully that doesn't persist.
I am also sorry for the negativity but I hate poker and I hate the way it makes me feel. I look forward to the day I don't have to play anymore which I hope comes sooner then later.
Thursday, September 4, 2008
August
September has already started off nicely. I have made 2 final tables in the last two days and the only thing I need to do is stop running bad in crucial spots and I might win one of these things.
Overall, I am about even for the month.
August, although frustrating most of the time in terms of poker, it was a very good month. Overall, I made about $2700 for the month.
However, a lot of good happened.
I got all my money off of Cake and have a minimal amount still left to play with.
I got everything squared away with stars and am playing there again.
Things are going really well on Stars except I running like shit right now.
My goals for the month.
1. Make $10K
2. Log in 60 cashes in the pokerdb for the month.
3. Make 7-8 final tables.
Overall, I am about even for the month.
August, although frustrating most of the time in terms of poker, it was a very good month. Overall, I made about $2700 for the month.
However, a lot of good happened.
I got all my money off of Cake and have a minimal amount still left to play with.
I got everything squared away with stars and am playing there again.
Things are going really well on Stars except I running like shit right now.
My goals for the month.
1. Make $10K
2. Log in 60 cashes in the pokerdb for the month.
3. Make 7-8 final tables.
Sunday, August 24, 2008
Another shitty sunday=Adios Cake
Another Sunday has passed me by and once again I have run atrociously bad in the Cake Sunday tournaments.
In the big one, I was all in on a stone cold bluff on only the second hand of the tournament and it worked. Today was absolutely insane. I ended up playing for about 10 hours today and made about 20 plays where I was all in on a stone cold bluff. No pair, no draws, and miraculously I was never called once. Not only that, but I am not the type of player to throw it all in with absolutely nothing. Usually when I'm all in with a weak holding, I at least have a draw of some sort.
I took 3 bad beats and one cooler in the $162 buyin tournament and was out in 90 minutes. I got knocked out by a hand that was a very familiar theme all day. About 20 times, if not more I was all in with a pocket pair and was up against a bigger pocket pair. I managed to suck out once.
I also bought into the $5 rebuys on Cake and took an 18K stack into the break which is the most I have ever had. I was out only 30 mintues later. I made a sick read and like always paid for it with my life.
I got all in with two players for what would have been massive chiplead for the tournament.
I raised in EP with Q Q. A middle stack shoved and the big stack of the table also shoved. I honestly felt that they both had A K so I called. Sure enough, I was right. The first 4 cards were blanks and the last card was a card thats only suppose to get there 8% of the time. Well, 8% has been happening a lot lately.
I then bought into a bunch of tournies on stars and started off pretty lousy in those as well. Fortunately, the day ended a lot better then it started and then ended terribly. Overall, I still managed to make money on the day.
Overall I cashed in the following:
3 table MTT.
Double Shootout satellite to the Sunday Million (some jerk made a stupid play and got lucky and cost me the satellite but I still got paid.)
3 other MTT's.
Even before I started typing this I thought I was going to be sharing a legendary story. I made one of the biggest suckouts I have ever made in my life and thought it was going to propel me to a huge finish.
I played the $5 rebuys on Stars again and heres what happened.
Hero: 250K
Villain 830K
Villain is tournament chip leader and just came to our table. I usually don't give chipleaders any credibility because they are usually giant donks who have gotten lucky.
Hero is dealt 10 10 and blinds are 2500/5000
Hero raises to 15K. Chipleader calls on the button and the SB also calls.
Flop J x x with two diamonds.
SB checks, Hero checks. Button bets 30K. I checked because I wanted to see where these guys were at. SB calls and I decide to take a turn.
Turn x no diamond.
Check, Check, Button goes all in. ????
SB folds and I decide that the button has at best a flush draw. I call.
Button shows A J of diamonds.
Fuck.
River 10
Holy Fuck!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That shit never ever happens to me.
I actually sucked out in a 500K chip pot and am now 4th in the tournament. From that point on that same guy was out for my blood. He played every hand that I played and was one of those idiots who has to try and outplay you ever hand. I fucking hate people like that. I am here to make money. I really can care less who the best/most macho player is. Apparently the villain from that hand has to now outplay me every hand for the rest of the tournament.
I eventually get moved from that table. Thank god.
Then this happens.
Hero 600K
Villain 250K
We get all in preflop and he has K K and I have A K. I turn broadway and bust villain and become tournament chip leader with about 70 players left with 8K on the line for first place.
The last hand.
I got screwed because that same guy got moved to my table and was conveniently placed to my direct left. I knew that this guy was going to screw me over somehow and just like before he is playing all the same pots with me.
I pick up A J which is a hand that I wish I could never be dealt because it costs me the most money. In fact, I just open fold it a lot unless I think I can just win the blinds. I raise to 42K with A J diamonds and of course douchebag calls.
Flop
9 4 2 two diamonds.
Bingo.
I have pretty much decided at this point that I am going to go all the way with this hand. I wasn't sure if I should check raise or if I should just bet it out. I decided that if I bet it out that the douche bag would raise me right then and there because he has to outplay me and then I would be able to go all in and he would have to fold his trash.
I bet 80K and he just calls. (Looking back, I wish I would have underbet it because that would have prompted a raise for sure.)
Turn 3 no diamond.
I bet 250K. He raises to 500K. Can this guy be more full of shit?
I obviously go all in and I cannot believe what I see when he shows his cards.
A 3. Are you fucking kidding me? You called me with just a gutshot for 80K and caught 3rd pair on the turn and you think its good.
An A hits the river but it doesn't make a difference since he sucked out on the turn with a fucking 2 outer and I am out in 37th.
I am quite proud of myself because I finished in top 100 in two more tournaments today that had 3000+ runners. I am definitely going to make a bunch of money. It is no longer a matter of how anymore but a matter of when.
I am unofficially done with Cake. I have withdrawn all but $500. I am going to use the remainder of the money to play a tourney here and there whenever there is nothing going on stars. I am almost out of gold chips and don't feel like wasting my time on those satellites anymore since I always get jewed so hard in the sunday tournies.
My stars bankroll started at $364.00 and right now I am sitting at $567.00.
In total I have withdrawn about $14760 from Cake.
In the big one, I was all in on a stone cold bluff on only the second hand of the tournament and it worked. Today was absolutely insane. I ended up playing for about 10 hours today and made about 20 plays where I was all in on a stone cold bluff. No pair, no draws, and miraculously I was never called once. Not only that, but I am not the type of player to throw it all in with absolutely nothing. Usually when I'm all in with a weak holding, I at least have a draw of some sort.
I took 3 bad beats and one cooler in the $162 buyin tournament and was out in 90 minutes. I got knocked out by a hand that was a very familiar theme all day. About 20 times, if not more I was all in with a pocket pair and was up against a bigger pocket pair. I managed to suck out once.
I also bought into the $5 rebuys on Cake and took an 18K stack into the break which is the most I have ever had. I was out only 30 mintues later. I made a sick read and like always paid for it with my life.
I got all in with two players for what would have been massive chiplead for the tournament.
I raised in EP with Q Q. A middle stack shoved and the big stack of the table also shoved. I honestly felt that they both had A K so I called. Sure enough, I was right. The first 4 cards were blanks and the last card was a card thats only suppose to get there 8% of the time. Well, 8% has been happening a lot lately.
I then bought into a bunch of tournies on stars and started off pretty lousy in those as well. Fortunately, the day ended a lot better then it started and then ended terribly. Overall, I still managed to make money on the day.
Overall I cashed in the following:
3 table MTT.
Double Shootout satellite to the Sunday Million (some jerk made a stupid play and got lucky and cost me the satellite but I still got paid.)
3 other MTT's.
Even before I started typing this I thought I was going to be sharing a legendary story. I made one of the biggest suckouts I have ever made in my life and thought it was going to propel me to a huge finish.
I played the $5 rebuys on Stars again and heres what happened.
Hero: 250K
Villain 830K
Villain is tournament chip leader and just came to our table. I usually don't give chipleaders any credibility because they are usually giant donks who have gotten lucky.
Hero is dealt 10 10 and blinds are 2500/5000
Hero raises to 15K. Chipleader calls on the button and the SB also calls.
Flop J x x with two diamonds.
SB checks, Hero checks. Button bets 30K. I checked because I wanted to see where these guys were at. SB calls and I decide to take a turn.
Turn x no diamond.
Check, Check, Button goes all in. ????
SB folds and I decide that the button has at best a flush draw. I call.
Button shows A J of diamonds.
Fuck.
River 10
Holy Fuck!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That shit never ever happens to me.
I actually sucked out in a 500K chip pot and am now 4th in the tournament. From that point on that same guy was out for my blood. He played every hand that I played and was one of those idiots who has to try and outplay you ever hand. I fucking hate people like that. I am here to make money. I really can care less who the best/most macho player is. Apparently the villain from that hand has to now outplay me every hand for the rest of the tournament.
I eventually get moved from that table. Thank god.
Then this happens.
Hero 600K
Villain 250K
We get all in preflop and he has K K and I have A K. I turn broadway and bust villain and become tournament chip leader with about 70 players left with 8K on the line for first place.
The last hand.
I got screwed because that same guy got moved to my table and was conveniently placed to my direct left. I knew that this guy was going to screw me over somehow and just like before he is playing all the same pots with me.
I pick up A J which is a hand that I wish I could never be dealt because it costs me the most money. In fact, I just open fold it a lot unless I think I can just win the blinds. I raise to 42K with A J diamonds and of course douchebag calls.
Flop
9 4 2 two diamonds.
Bingo.
I have pretty much decided at this point that I am going to go all the way with this hand. I wasn't sure if I should check raise or if I should just bet it out. I decided that if I bet it out that the douche bag would raise me right then and there because he has to outplay me and then I would be able to go all in and he would have to fold his trash.
I bet 80K and he just calls. (Looking back, I wish I would have underbet it because that would have prompted a raise for sure.)
Turn 3 no diamond.
I bet 250K. He raises to 500K. Can this guy be more full of shit?
I obviously go all in and I cannot believe what I see when he shows his cards.
A 3. Are you fucking kidding me? You called me with just a gutshot for 80K and caught 3rd pair on the turn and you think its good.
An A hits the river but it doesn't make a difference since he sucked out on the turn with a fucking 2 outer and I am out in 37th.
I am quite proud of myself because I finished in top 100 in two more tournaments today that had 3000+ runners. I am definitely going to make a bunch of money. It is no longer a matter of how anymore but a matter of when.
I am unofficially done with Cake. I have withdrawn all but $500. I am going to use the remainder of the money to play a tourney here and there whenever there is nothing going on stars. I am almost out of gold chips and don't feel like wasting my time on those satellites anymore since I always get jewed so hard in the sunday tournies.
My stars bankroll started at $364.00 and right now I am sitting at $567.00.
In total I have withdrawn about $14760 from Cake.
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